Showing posts with label Rugby League. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Rugby League. Show all posts

Thursday, 12 February 2026

Predictions are Like Arseholes. Everybody Has Got One

 


Aaron Bower has managed to get two articles in The Guardian on the eve of the start of Super League XXX nod to the Super Bowl). Super League returns and, 30 years on, it’s going back to the future | Super League | The Guardian and Super League 2026: team-by-team guide to the new season | Super League | The Guardian. I am a fan of Aaron, especially when he gets a few column inches in a daily newspaper. Below is his prediction for the Leigh Leopards:

Leigh Leopards

Had it not been for Hull KR’s treble, Leigh would have been the story of 2025. A Championship club as recently as 2022, the Leopards secured their highest finish last season, falling just short of a maiden Grand Final. They should make the top six again, but their squad looks slightly light in a couple of key areas. Injuries could leave them in trouble.

Coach Adrian Lam Captain Lachlan Lam Key player Lachlan Lam Last season 3rd Prediction 6th

Leigh, having finished 5th, 4th and 3rd and ranked the 3rd best in the competition by IMG ratings over the the 3 year period, is going to go into reverse and finish in the last slot in the play-offs. Funnily enough Aaron Bower in Love Rugby League on the 10th February - Super League predictions: Our writers tip Leeds Rhinos for title predicted that Leigh would drop out of the play-off race and finish 7th. Aaron either does not keep a tab on his own predictions, or he has changed his mind in the last 2 days. Aaron's big argument is: "They should make the top six again, but their squad looks slightly light in a couple of key areas. Injuries could leave them in trouble." The reality is Leigh has suffered injuries to key players over the last 2 seasons and still managed to find themselves in the top 4. In my opinion, the depth of the squad is much greater than that of some of their nearest rivals. Wigan, Warrington and Leeds have filled the high numbers in their squads with academy players. Leigh, on the other hand, has Super League experience down to 26. Nathan Wilde has 12 games under his belt.

Aaron Bower – Love Rugby League
1. Hull KR
2. Leeds Rhinos
3. Wigan Warriors
4. St Helens
5. Hull FC
6. Wakefield Trinity
7. Leigh Leopards
8. Catalans Dragons
9. Castleford Tigers
10. Warrington Wolves
11. Huddersfield Giants
12. York Knights
13. Toulouse Olympique
14. Bradford Bulls

Aaron Bower – Guardian
1. Hull KR
2. Leeds Rhinos
3. Wigan Warriors
4. St Helens
5. Hull FC
6. Leigh Leopards
7. Wakefield Trinity
8. Catalans Dragons
9. Castleford Tigers
10. Warrington Wolves
11. Huddersfield Giants
12. York Knights
13. Toulouse Olympique
14. Bradford Bulls

Matt Shaw – Love Rugby League
1. Leigh Leopards
2. Leeds Rhinos
3. Hull KR
4. Wigan Warriors
5. Hull FC
6. Wakefield Trinity
7. St Helens
8. Warrington Wolves
9. Catalans Dragons
10. Huddersfield Giants
11. Castleford Tigers
12. Toulouse Olympique
13. Bradford Bulls
14. York Knights

Ben Olawumi – Love Rugby League
1. Wigan Warriors
2. Leeds Rhinos
3. Hull KR
4. St Helens
5. Hull FC
6. Leigh Leopards
7. Warrington Wolves
8. Wakefield Trinity
9. Catalans Dragons
10. Castleford Tigers
11. Bradford Bulls
12. Toulouse Olympique
13. York Knights
14. Huddersfield Giants

Louis Chapman-Coombe – Love Rugby League
1. Hull KR
2. Leeds Rhinos
3. Wigan Warriors
4. St Helens
5. Wakefield Trinity
6. Leigh Leopards
7. Hull FC
8. Warrington Wolves
9. Catalans Dragons
10. Castleford Tigers
11. Huddersfield Giants
12. York Knights
13. Bradford Bulls
14. Toulouse Olympique

Will Jackson – SARL
1. Wigan Warriors
2. Hull KR
3. St Helens
4. Leeds Rhinos
5. Hull FC
6. Leigh Leopards
7. Warrington Wolves
8. Wakefield Trinity
9. Huddersfield Giants
10. Catalans Dragons
11. Castleford Tigers
12. York Knights
13. Bradford Bulls
14. Toulouse Olympique

Sam Brocksam - SARL
1. Wigan Warriors
2. ⁠Leigh Leopards
3. ⁠Hull KR
4. ⁠Leeds Rhinos
5. ⁠St Helens
6. ⁠Catalans Dragons
7. ⁠Hull FC
8. ⁠Warrington Wolves
9. ⁠Wakefield Trinity
10. ⁠Castleford Tigers
11. ⁠York Knights
12. ⁠Huddersfield Giants
13. ⁠Toulouse Olympique
14. ⁠Bradford Bulls

Sam Cook – SARL
1: Leigh Leopards
2: Wigan Warriors
3: Hull KR
4: St Helens
5: Hull FC
6: Leeds Rhinos
7: Warrington Wolves
8: Catalans Dragons
9: Wakefield Trinity
10: Huddersfield Giants
11: Castleford Tigers:
12: York Knights
13: Toulouse Olympique
14: Bradford Bulls
All Out Rugby League chickened out of full predictions.

Thursday, 5 February 2026

Strategic Review

 

Hold on to your hats, it was 12 months in the making, but now the Strategic Review has finally been released. RL Club-Led Strategic Review v3 (1).indd

Most of the juicy titbits have already been released, but I will attempt to extract the content that caught my eye.

Salary Cap

I never mentioned the words Salary Cap before, so here is what is in the review:

42. The Salary Cap should be simplified to ensure all actual costs relating to players are covered within the scope of the regulations. It should be policed. The level of the cap should be correlated with the levels of central distribution. Actual costs, so this needs to include cleaning jobs performed (or not performed) by spouses. Marwan Koukash got hit with fines for buying cars for his best players.

43. The sport should consider re-introducing a live Salary Cap system once all commercial and investment matters are known. This should link to a strategic plan for player costs. I thought that a live Salary Cap system was already in place.

44. Clubs should be able to sign a maximum of two marquee players as per the current regulations, but such players must be made available to work with RL Commercial on commercial, media and other engagements. A maximum of two marquee players as per the current regulations - pretty sure the system was modified to allow a 3rd marquee as long as he was club-developed talent. French and Field are going to be very busy doing turns for the RFL. As a matter of transparency, every club should announce their Marquee signings.

Women's Rugby League

59. There is a need to improve the standard of player and athlete welfare offered in the Women’s Super League. There is a need to pay them properly, but that is not going to happen because the sport is not financially viable.

Challenge Cup

64. Men’s Super League clubs should enter at the round of 32. They should be seeded and drawn away from home. This has already been in operation for the last two seasons.

66. Across the centre and at clubs, more thought, budget and resource is needed to promote the Challenge Cup. Yes it should. The Challenge Cup has been neglected for years. For some clubs, the Challenge Cup is still very important. The Leigh Leopards spent a year taking it out into the community at every possibility.

67. Consideration should be given to the creation of a ‘Magic Weekend-style’ round of the Challenge Cup to truly put the magic back into the competition. This would ideally be the Round of 16, creating a new event and broadcast product. This is one of the better solutions to the Magic Weekend conundrum. Moving to 14 teams to eliminate a loop fixture and then putting one back in for Magic Weekend. The current Magic Weekend to be held at Hill-Dickinson stadium is selling very well, due to the venue and the rivals round format. 

69. There should be a fixed date in the calendar for the final. Nice idea in principle, but if they decide to move it away from Wembley, that would cause issues finding a permanent home at an alternative Football Stadium.

70. The sport should consider a new venue for the final. (see 69)

Player production

91 Consideration should be given to reducing the number of elite Academies playing in the professional structure. These clubs should have to meet strict standards of player development and output, and be properly staffed and funded. Reducing the number of elite Academies - this has created more inequalities in the game than anything else. Leigh Leopards have often been criticised for not producing any future stars of the game. At various times, the club has not been able to afford to run an academy and also the RFL have denied the club a license due to all the licenses being assigned. Why should there be a set number of Academies? Is it due to the proximity to the Piedome? It would be interesting if Brad O'Neill and Jack Farrimond had been through an Academy at Leigh. Let's reduce the Academies to Wigan, St Helens, Warrington and Leeds and then wonder why the Super League Grand final was only won by 4 teams until last year. No thanks. The sensible solution would be to take the Academies out of the club hands, into regional centres of excellence. This creates another problem when it comes to signing for professional clubs. If the current system is kept in place, there needs to be protection for the clubs that nurtured the young players. At the end of last season, Wigan and St Helens went to war over the next crop of youngsters, trading players in a tit for tat exchange. Under 21's should stay contractually under the wings of the parent club, as long as the big clubs do not abuse the system and treat the players like chattel.

92 Encouragement should be given to regional Academies being set up between consenting clubs to improve the offer to young players and to widen player pools. Yes, but who funds the regional academies?

95 In the short term, there should be increased access to overseas talent pools. Expansion in Super League and NRL has resulted in a land grab. Super League grab the Under 25 talent from the State Cup sides, and the new NRL teams raid Leigh and Leeds. The search will branch out to other clubs, but for now it was totally necessary to increase the overseas quota to 10.

97. There should be a review of the current welfare and support functions for players. A strategy to better fund welfare and provide a Player Association function paid for by those that use it should be developed and operationalised. This should be primarily funded by the players themselves or through commercial fundraising activity. A plan should include medical provision, welfare and wellbeing, and could act for players on contractual matters. An absolute no-brainer. Mandatory contributions from all players, Clubs and the RFL. If you are opposed to the term Union, then call it a Players Association. 

The contest, broadcast, product and season schedule

98 There should be new events and broadcast packages created to improve broadcast revenues. As a Rugby League fan, I pay for Skysports, but in reality I am subsidising Football fans. The large bulk of the TV revenue goes straight to the EFL Premier League. My household watches Rugby League, Darts and Cricket (no football). Put the sports on a dedicated channel and reduce my bill by removing the Football channels. The cost might not be so high if the Firestick users were caught and had to pay fines.

99 Consideration should be given to events that showcase different attributes of players including Rugby League 9s and other linked sports provided such events are strategically delivered and financially sustainable in the medium term. Not enough room in the season. No Club would want to risk their players in an exhibition-style tournament. Make it an Olympic sport, and then people might be interested. 

100 The sport should consider starting the season with a match between the Challenge Cup winners and the Grand Final winners to raise money for the sport’s charity, Rugby League Cares. Nice idea, but played in January (no thanks).

102 The sport must ensure there is a balance between free to air, subscription TV and streaming broadcast rights. Market Segmentation, this used to be about competition, but in reality, it is about the fan forking out multiple subscriptions for a product they used to get in one place.

105 There should be a new strategy for Super League Plus to make the sport a 24/7 accessible product and showcase additional matches from other Rugby League competitions, podcasts and other shoulder content, including press conferences, disciplinary hearings and other behind-the-scenes material. This should include using the platform to showcase players as fully-rounded people, celebrate history and traditions of the sport and create new programmes for younger audiences. More content, yes please.

106 The calendar should be redrafted to create peaks for the sport and ensure that data is used to place important matches at times of peak viewership. The calendar should also avoid clashes with other significant sporting or public events. Nice idea in principle, but good luck scheduling that. They have enough problems with resurfacing Football pitches and playing away for weeks on end. Starting the season at the same time as the 6 Nations is also not good planning, but it can't be avoided.

107 Tier 2 should consider amending its season so that it has a period in the calendar where that competition has all Rugby League eyes focused on it. Televised Championship Rugby in the winter months. Not sure there is a demand for snowy and muddy pitches.

109 Laws and Policy should aim to speed up the contest both in actual time and the speed at which it is played, and should attempt to make the collision as physical as possible whilst maintaining player safety. Faster ruck speeds - implemented.

112 Work should be done with broadcast and commercial partners to use technology and data during and after the contest to bring the sport closer to the fans, tell more insightful stories and drive new and better revenue streams. Yes

113 Changes to disciplinary regulations should be implemented with the aim to keep more players on the field whilst punishing repeat infringers and protecting players from serious foul play. The purpose of the disciplinary panels and processes should not be to re-referee each incident. Neither should it be beneficial to the bigger clubs.

Bring Yer Boots (You Might Get a Game)

 

Lammy this week will be trying to knock some square pegs into round holes. This weekend will witness the Challenge Cup 3rd Round, with Leigh Leopards visiting the North Wales Crusaders at Colwyn Bay. One would usually assume that this is a straight forward win for the Super League, but Lammy has hinted that he only has 19 available players, but he named a 20 man squad for the trip to Wales.

Leigh Leopards squad: Keanan Brand, Tesi Niu, Josh Charnley, Adam Cook, Lachlan Lam, Edwin Ipape, Robbie Mulhern, Frankie Halton, Owen Trout, Jacob Alick-Wiencke, Bailey Hodgson, Innes Senior, AJ Towse, Gareth O’Brien, Jack Hughes, Andrew Badrock, Ben McNamara, Nathan Wilde, Ryan Brown, Will Brough

How will Leigh actually line-up on Saturday:

  1. Bailey Hodgson
  2. Innes Senior 
  3. Tesi Niu 
  4. Keanan Brand
  5. Josh Charnley
  6. Adam Cook 
  7. Lachlan Lam
  8. Robbie Mulhern
  9. Edwin Ipape
  10. Owen Trout
  11. Frankie Halton
  12. Jacob Alick-Wiencke
  13. Jack Hughes
  14. Andrew Badrock
  15. Ben McNamara 
  16. Nathan Wilde
  17. Gareth O’Brien
  18. Will Brough
Robbie Mulhern is considered to be a doubt, so Ryan Brown may be brought onto the bench. The backs are looking fairly Leopard-like but the forwards will be without Joe Offahengaue, Issac Liu, Liam Horne and Matt Davis.

This is not looking good with the start of the Super League only 8 days away. Anyway bring yer boots, you never know.

Wednesday, 28 January 2026

Rugby League Fans and the Away Games

 

For Rugby League fans, it is a cold and desolate wait for the new season. The 2025 Super League season ended with the Grand Final on Saturday 11th October 2025, with the Challenge Cup 3rd Round starting on the weekend of 7th/8th February 2026, a total of 119 days, with only Christmas and New Year to brighten the wait. The result of the waiting is the need to attend Friendlies and Testimonials. The first such event is the annual pilgrimage to the Halliwell Jones stadium, the home of the Warrington Wolves, on Friday, 30th January 2026. Personally, this is the nearest Super League to my home, at 3.3 miles, it is actually walkable at an estimated 1 hour and 10 minutes. This, compared to the home games at the LSV, is an absolute doddle.

Every year I always attend at least one away game (Warrington) plus a special trip. This started:

  • 2021 – Magic Weekend Newcastle
  • 2022 – 1895 Cup & (Challenge Cup final was a bonus) also included Featherstone, York, Bradford, Sheffield, Widnes and Halifax
  • 2023 – Challenge Cup final Wakefield
  • 2024 – London Broncos
  • 2025 – Perpignon and St Helens (semi-final Challenge Cup)
  • 2026 – York, Colwyn Bay and Magic Weekend (Everton)
2022 was a great year in the Championship, with most games being played on a Sunday, which allows the travelling supporter to be able to get across the Pennines without worrying too much about traffic on the M62. The other years are all Super League years, Wigan and St Helens have always been slightly more intimidating places to go, and until 2025, wins against the local rivals were as rare as hen's teeth, hopefully that will change now the hoodoo has been broken.

Round 3 of the Challenge Cup sees the Super League teams join the competition. All top-flight teams are supposed to play away, although Hull KR and Warrington think they are exempt from this ruling (I think that I will save that rant for another time). Leigh has drawn North Wales Crusaders on the 7th February 2026, and having been starved of Rugby League during the dark nights, it was decided to buy tickets for the short trip to Colwyn Bay (63 miles away). I appear not to be the only person with the same idea, and The Stadiwm CSM (see photo above), appears to be heading for a sell-out. 

A big part of these trips away is to have a weekend away or, at the very least, a nice meal. I will be looking forward to visiting Porth Eireas (Michelin Bib Gourmand) for something fishy before heading to the ground. The Stadiwm CSM looks like a nice stadium, but suffering the misfortune of having an athletics track around the pitch. Opera glasses might be the order of the day. Still only two more days until I hear the roar of the Halliwell Jones Stadium, and enjoy a curry with a cold pint of Cobra.


Official Leigh Leopards Squad 2026

 


It has been a long wait for Leigh Leopards to issue the squad numbers and away strip. Three weeks ago, I took a stab at the squad Leopards are Massive: Leigh Leopards Squad 2026.

It was not too bad a stab as it turns out, with numbers 1-15 all present and correct. The first divergence is at 16, I predicted the goal-kicking genius Gaz O'Brien would be wearing that shirt instead; it is the utility forward Matt "The Axe" Davis.

It is in fact Jack Hughes and Gaz O'Brien that have been squeezed down the pecking order, coming in at 21 and 22. As veterans Lammy will have no issue utilising this pair, and in some respects shows the depth in the Leigh squad with players all the way down to 25. Louis Brogan having had a reasonable amount of game time. Compare this with Wigan who only have regulars down to 22. Tom Forber or Leeds with 23. Danny Levi marking the end of the experienced squad.


Thursday, 22 January 2026

Salary Cap (part 2)

 

The Super League salary cap is one of the most important mechanisms shaping modern rugby league in the UK. It’s designed to keep the competition financially stable, competitive, and attractive — and it has evolved quite a bit in recent years.

🏉 What the Salary Cap Actually Is:

The cap limits how much each Super League club can spend on its first‑team squad. According to the Rugby Football League, clubs must stay under the lower of two figures:

  • A fixed cap of £2.1 million, and

  • The amount the club can afford under financial sustainability rules.

Without Salford in the Super League, it is assumed everyone is working to a A fixed cap of £2.1 million.

🎯 Why the Cap Exists?

he RFL outlines three core goals:

  • Keep the league competitive by preventing wealthier clubs from dominating.

  • Stop clubs from overspending and risking financial collapse.

  • Protect player welfare and ensure fair treatment.

⭐ Marquee Player Rules

This is where things get interesting. Super League allows clubs to sign “marquee players” whose salaries count only partially toward the cap. Recent rule changes expanded this system:

  • Clubs can now have up to three marquee players (previously two).

  • At least one must be federation‑trained.

  • Their cap value depends on their status:

Player TypeCounts as on Cap
Club‑trained marquee£50,000
Federation‑trained marquee£100,000
Non‑federation marquee£150,000

🧭 The Bigger Picture

The cap has been set at £2.1m for five consecutive years, but the marquee rules and monitoring processes continue to evolve. These tweaks aim to balance financial sustainability with the desire to raise the league’s overall quality.

The Salary Cap is based only on the top 30 highest-paid players in the squad

£25,000 is the minimum wage in the UK. 30x £25,000 = £750,000 (the least amount the whole team can be paid)

£2,100,000 /30 = £70,000 average wage if all players are paid the same.

Marquee players are decided on the basis of the biggest savings, not the biggest wage. An example would be if Toby King were paid £100k, as a Club‑trained marquee only costs £50k on the salary cap. To change to a Non‑federation marquee, that player would need to be paid over £200k for it to be worth changing the marquee player status

Marquee player status is generally not announced due to the English custom of not talking about salaries in polite circles. Football is an exception, and weekly wages are often quoted in papers for shock value. The NRL is much more vulgar; a quick search reveals Nathan Cleary is on Aus $1.3M. This discrepancy in the value of top NRL players and the top Super League players is why Super League teams will never see Mal Maninga or Jamie Lyons running out in their colours as we once did.

The reason why the Salary Cap has remained static is based on the fact that only two of the current 14 Super League teams posted a profit (Leigh and Bradford). The accounts posted at Companies House are bare minimum so it is difficult for the layperson to forensically assess the true incomings and outgoings, when directors can manipulate and write off loans when required. If 12 clubs are making a loss, it seems suicidal to want to extend the Salary Cap when it is the owners who will have to foot the bill. Wigan have a billionaire owner who can afford to finance the extra losses. Leeds have a consortium of owners, which is why they will pay transfer fees when needed, when, in general, they have ceased to exist for the most part in Rugby League. Hull FC and Hull KR have recently bolstered their ownership groups and can absorb the losses a little more easily. Eamonn McManus at St Helens stated that the club cannot sustain £2.5m-£3m losses every year, indefinitely (2023 & 2024). 

Most clubs are hoping that the TV deal will result in an uptick, when every contract negotiation has been a spiral down since Nigel Wood agreed the 2014-2021 Sky Sports contract worth around £28.5m, now down to around £20m a year. Sky Sports in fairness, are now showing 2 games a week and all games via a streaming service, which increases the production costs of Super League significantly. The expected result was that fewer people would attend live games, but in general, the trend has been for increased attendances all round and more people watching the extra games via the streaming service. With 14 teams comes an extra game a week, but more fans will want to watch Sky Sports now that their team is also in the competition. It is believed that Sky Sports viewing figures soar in the capital when the London Broncos are involved. 

Paul Lakin at Hull KR seems to want his cake and eat it. He argues for both a salary cap increase and for the Television Rights deal to pay for it. Hull KR as the current treble holders, have unprecedented demand and still in 2024 reported losses of £1,327,065.

As a fantasy version of the Salary Cap, I will attempt to work out where the Wigan cap goes.

Category A - £100k+

Category B - £75k to £100k

Category C - £50k to £75k

Vategory D - £25k to £50k

  1. Jai Field - A (£300k - £150k M)
  2. Zach Eckersley - C (£40k)
  3. Adam Keighran - A (£100k)
  4. Jake Wardle - A (£120k)
  5. Liam Marshall - A (£100k)
  6. Bevan French - A (£350k - £150k M)
  7. Harry Smith - A (£120k - £50k M)
  8. Ethan Havard - B (£75k)
  9. Brad O'Neill - B (£75k)
  10. Luke Thompson - A (£120k)
  11. Junior Nsemba - A (£100k)
  12. Liam Farrell - A (£110k)
  13. Kaide Ellis - B (£100k)
  14. Sam Walters - B (£75k)
  15. Patrick Mago - B (£75k)
  16. Abbas Miski - B (£75k)
  17. Oliver Partington - A (£90k)
  18. N/A
  19. Jack Farrimond - C (£40k)
  20. Sam Eseh - C (£40k)
  21. Oliver Wilson - B (£75k)
  22. Tom Forber - D (£35k)
  23. Kian McDermott - D (£30k)
  24. Harvey Makin - D (£30k)
  25. Taylor Kerr - D (£30k)
  26. Nathan Lowe - D (£30k)
  27. Lukas Mason - D (£30k)
  28. Noah Hodkinson - D (£30k)
  29. Tiaki Chan - D (£40k)
  30. George Hirst - D (£35k)
  31. Jonny Vaughan - D (£35k)
Approx total = £2,085,000
* Deduct Owen Wilson (out for the season) £2,010,000
** to be added back in 2027, Kruise Leeming and Tyler Dupree

In theory, about £90K wiggle room, but if Wigan bring anyone in for 2026, then at least 2 will need to leave in 2027. 

Players coming through the academy get paid less than players who are bought in. Oliver Partington would have been a player who needed to leave in 2022, because his academy pathway would have meant that he was undervalued by Wigan. Returning in 2026, he will now be on a good salary and a 5-year contract.

Issues affecting salary will include games played, International honours, Super League demand and interest from the NRL.

Teams with strong academies include: Wigan, St Helens, and Leeds. These clubs tend to promote upwards and don't buy externally very often.This process keeps the Salary Cap tight but manageable.
Warrington are currently in the process of moving to this model, although they have players like King, Currie and Philbin that have been at the club for years.
Newly promoted teams tend to buy older, more experienced players (see York, Bradford and Leigh pre 2023). 
The new model for under-25-year-olds from NSW and QLD cup competitions is keeping the Salary Cap and the average age of the team down - this is the model being used by Wakefield, Leigh and Castleford


Tuesday, 6 January 2026

2026 Super League Predictions


Super League 2026, has grown to 14 teams with three new teams entering the bright lights of the Northern Hemisphere's top Rugby League competition. Personally I welcome the addition of York Knights, Bradford Bulls and Toulouse Olympique. The season will be much fairer with Home and Away fixtures and a single rivals round at Everton's Hill Dickinson stadium for the Magic Weekend. There are 27 rounds of the Betfred Super League 2026 season to enjoy starting in mid-February.

The argument against 14 teams has always been that there is not enough talent to support an extra two teams, but with the increase in overseas quota spots from seven to ten, all teams look stronger for the new season. If anything, it was a good move ahead of the NRL expansions in Perth and Papua New Guinea for 2027 and 2028 seasons. The 2025 season saw an increase in attendances across the competition, despite fears that figures would drop with all matches now available on Sky Sports' streaming services. The trend was the opposite with games well attended and combined Sky Sports viewing figures rising. 

The demise of Salford Red Devils in 2025, might actually be beneficial to the sport. Salford always struggled with home support and the Community Share Scheme highlighted the need for them to achieve 6000+ as an average gate in order to be sustainable. In 2024 Salford achieved an average 4,646 which dropped to only 4,000 in 2025. As a sport ideally every game would have at least 7,500 with the best supported teams achieving 15,000. This would represent real growth in the game and would hopefully improve Sky Sports' viewing figures, representing a potential better offer in Television rights. St Helens and Hull KR representatives have both highlighted the TV deal has being the only way out of the financial crisis affecting the game. Currently, only two teams reported a profit last year, Leigh and Bradford. The Bulls have achieved this whilst being in the Championship and Leigh have significantly increased the fandom section of the IMG grading. Neither team were in the Super League during the covid season and I believe that Leigh did not take the Covid loan. If I was an owner of a Super League team, I would look very closely at how Derek Beaumont is achieving a profit at the same time as increasing the match day experience. 

2026 Super League Predictions

Without further ado, let's move on to the predictions.

14. Toulouse Olympique - Financially hampered by having to pay the flight costs for the 12 UK based teams and only receiving half of the central funding. Having two French teams in the Super League may assist in Catalans and Toulouse finding a Television deal in France. Olympique appear to have cut their cloth accordingly and in terms of numbers, they have lost three players and brought in six new players. Brendan Hands played eight times for Toulouse in 2025 on loan before completing a deal for the 2026 season. Hands will be joined by Henry O'Kane, who has experience in the NSW Cup. The most notable signing is Tyler Dupree, on a season-long loan from Wigan. Dupree dropped down the pecking order at the Warriors, and even with a number of front line props leaving the club, was considered surplus to requirements. Having won the 2025 Championship Grand Final, they might believe they are strong enough to finish above the other promoted teams.

Aspirations - 12th

Need more quality

13. Bradford Bulls - Kurt Hagerty has made monumental changes to the Bradford playing squad. 14 players have left Odsall, whilst 16 have made Bradford their new home. Most of the signings are Super League regulars, with the biggest signings being Andy Ackers, Jayden Nikorima, Ryan Sutton and Esan Marsters. This looks like a squad built to compete in Super League, but in reality, it lacks any gold dust. Ackers has made the short journey from Leeds to Bradford, but he has failed to light up Super League since the move to Leeds in 2024. At 32, his best years appear to be behind him. Ryan Sutton could be one of the signings of the season after returning from six seasons in the NRL at Canberra and Canterbury. The last two seasons, however, have been injury-ravaged, and there is an inherent risk with this signing. Mellor, Marsters, Milnes and Nikorima will provide some positives. Question marks remain over the appointment of Kurt Hagerty, who will need all the skills he picked up from Paul Rowley.

Aspirations - 9th

Crowds return to Odsal, but lacking the x-factor

12. York Knights - The future of Super League depends on teams like York Knights. Just outside of the traditional heartlands, York can provide a different demographic to the usual working-class towns built on long-forgotten industries. York is an affluent city and a popular tourist destination. Clint Goodchild is revolutionary thinker in Rugby League circles, and if anyone can make a go of this opportunity, it is Clint. York was an early adopter of women's Rugby League and the Valkyres are one of the top teams. Hopefully, York can utilise hordes of away supporters arriving to witness the LNER Community Stadium for the first time. With a capacity of 8,500 it would be great to see this stadium full to the rafters. 11 players have exited the club and 12 players have joined the squad. The most eye-catching is Paul Vaughan. Vaughan saved his best Rugby for the Challenge Cup in 2025, and came close to lifting the trophy at Wembley. Super League regulars include, Josh Griffin, Sam Wood, Justine Sangare and Jon Bennison all bring much needed experience.

Aspirations - 12th

Hopefully, the game will flourish in North Yorkshire

11. Huddersfield Giants - 2022 seems a long time ago for Giants fans, when they narrowly lost to Wigan in the Challenge Cup final and finished 3rd in the league. Since 2022, it has been a rapid descent to the bottom quarter of the table, finishing 9th, 10th and 9th respectively. Injuries were blamed for last season, but the squad appears to be understrength and tires in the latter stages of games. Huddersfield have 7 going out and 5 coming in. Key players like Cudjoe have retired, and the highly rated Oliver Wilson has moved on to Wigan. Starters like Bibby, Wallis and Golding have all left the club. Incoming players appear lightweight. Evalds had played for the Giants on loan in 2025, two signings from Wakefield in Cozza and Russell, and two overseas players in Chris Patola and Asher O'Donnell. It appears that much will rely on Asher being as good as his brother Kai.

Aspirations - Play-offs

10. Castleford Tigers - Chris Chester has been busy delving into his little black book. Leigh Leopards have made reference to the fact that they are in a bidding war with Castleford for every player they are looking to sign. New manager Ryan Carr will inherit a brand new squad 11 players heading for new homes, and 11 players moving to the OneBore stadium. A new Team and  a new Manager, logic dictates that it is going to take time to bed in. Will the Fords be more competitive? probably, but I think that other teams have strengthened from a more stable base.

Aspirations - Play-offs

Improvements on the field, but not enough to progress up the table.

9. Catalans Dragons - Big expectations from the Dragons after two consecutive finishes outside the play-offs. The result is to jetison an entire starting 13, including Sam Tomkins, Theo Fages, Tevita Pangai Jr, Fouad Yaha, Arthur Romano, Paul Seguier, Elliott Whitehead, Tariq Sims, Tanguy Zenon, Bayley Sironen, Reimis Smith, Luke Keary, Jordan Dezaria. This is a culling on a monumental scale with the lose of a large number of players with big reputations. Admittedly, they performed nowhere near their potential, but there are risks involved in setting up a brand new side (see Castleford). 12 new players. have moved to the South of France with a raft of overseas players trying to settle in. Toby Sexton is thought to be the pick of the crop, but he is already heading back to the NRL in 2027. The rest of the overseas contingent are predominantly under the age of 25. Joel Tomkins is putting his faith in youth. Not sure it is enough to change the dial and propel them up the ladder.

Aspirations - Play-offs - 

Bernard Gausch to wield his chopper on Joel Tomkins

8. Warrington Wolves - Has McNamara managed to clean up the toxic culture that has prevailed at the HJ Stadium for more years than I can remember? There was a stink about the place towards the back-end of Tony Smith's reign in 2017. Steve Price managed to get a tune of sorts, but rumours of a drinks culture were rampant. 2022 with Daryl Powell looked like he would steady the ship, but this all came to nought and Powell lost the dressing room. Sam Burgess provided an upsurge in 2024 and a downsurge in 2025. Most Warrington fans do not know to expect, but it is likely to a be bumpy ride. Burgess and club captain George Williams are expected to return to Australia in 2027, and Danny Walker is on the NRL wishlist. 11 players have moved on from the HJ Stadium, with 7 mostly match-day starters arriving. James Bentley, a man who can start a fight in an empty room, has moved to Warrington and the toxic cauldron. Leeds stated Bentley by mutual consent, but most people suspect a misdemeanour or falling out took place. Sipley, Hopoate and Tanginoa look like good signings, but Warrington still looks lightweight in the pack. Oddly enough, the half-back pairing of Williams and Sneyd has so far failed to gel. The expectation is for youth to be given a chance, and so development may take time for them to settle in.

Aspirations - Play-offs

Always their year - but not this year. Burgess is to be asked to bugger off to Australia

7. St Helens - Controversial Saints to finish outside the top six. Popular opinion states Rowley will get the best of the old players and will develop the very talented youth at his disposal. The reality is that St Helens have been on a slide ever since winning the World Club Challenge in 2023. What are the major issues facing Saints? Age - Mark Percival 32 in a few months has always played at 100 mph. Unfortunately, his body can no longer take the knocks, and a 27+ game season is beyond him. Alex Walmsley turns 36 early in the season. Props take a battering, and Big Al takes longer to recover. Unlikely to capture the outstanding performances of just a few years ago. Daryl Clark turns 33 before the start of the season, and every year he makes fewer darting runs from dummy half. Is there a suitable dummy half to rotate with Clark? Jonny Lomax, already 35 years old, was being squeezed out of the matchday side in 2025, despite being the club captain. Given the number 7 jersey for 2026, he is already part of the problem and not the solution. Spine - enough to send a shiver down the spine of any Red Vee fan. Adding Jackson Hastings into the mix does nothing to clear the picture. At Fullback - the natural choice would be Jack Welsby. who has struggled through injuries and poor form. Tristan Sailor was signed as a half-back, but lacks the creativity to be really useful in this position. Sailor has pace to burn, but is lightweight and not good in the tackle. Half-back (6&7), two positions with no individual nailed on to hold these positions down. Jackson Hastings (circa 2018 - 2021 - playing for Salford and Wigan) would absolutely cement a place in this team. Last season Hastings started in reserve grade until week 15. Eventually, he managed just five appearances for Newcastle. He was pushed into playing Loose-Forward, which raises question marks over his ability to still play in the halves. Jonny Lomax is no longer the creative force of old, and Slomax would appear to be a more suitable name for the Saints legend. George Whitby, this young talent, is being carefully managed; he is fully expected to lead the Saints in the future, but is considered not quite ready to face the rigours of a full season. Harry Robertson is another option at 1,6 and 7. I have no doubt he would play 9 and 13 if asked. At Hooker, Daryl Clark appears to be lacking a genuine interchange option. At Loose-forward, Saints have lost Morgan Knowles, who has been the rock at 13 for the last 10 years. St Helens have signed Jacob Host and David Klemmer, but the rest of the squad is made up of refugees from the Salford Red Devils. Rowley likes to sign players he is already familiar with, so expect anyone connected to Salford in the past four years to rock up in the Red Vee.

Aspirations - Top four minimum, with a treble on the cards

A good coach, some good players, but several years of poor recruitment have left the Saints facing younger, faster and leaner opposition moving up the rails. Expect the Saints to bully teams in the lower half of the League, but struggle against the top six sides.

6. Hull FC - John Cartwright, in his first season, was able to turn around the fortunes of the Black and Whites. A huge turnover of players in 2025, was full of hits and misses. Hits included Asiata, Hardaker, Sezer, Cust, Rapana. Knight and Pryce. Misses included Abdull, Holmes and Watts. Injuries to key players hampered progress and they narrowly missed out on the play-offs. FC are hoping to replace the misses with an influx of forwards. Lisone, Batchelor, Bell and Hill. A further missing part of the jigsaw was a half-back partner for Sezer, which will be filled by Jake Arthur. Cartwright looks to have all the pieces in place to push on to the play-offs in 2026.

Aspirations - Top six minimum, hoping for top four

Gaps filled in and a pack ready to rumble. If the spine fires, they will be pushing for a top-four finish. Much will depend on keeping the spine injury-free.

5. Wakefield Trinity - Trinity, who made the play-offs in 2025, have strengthened the side by moving on some older players and fringe players, and replacing them with some major talent from the NRL in the shape of Jazz Tevaga and Tyson Smoothy. These two signings alone will ensure Wakefield will be a team to be respected.

Aspirations - Top six minimum, hoping for top four

Reaching the play-offs in 2025 was a tremendous achievement. Well placed to reach the semi-finals in 2026.

4. Wigan Warriors - The treble winners in 2024, 2nd in the ladder and reaching the Grand Final. This will be considered a bad season for the Warriors. Recruitment is key to keeping a dynasty hungry for more, but instead, Wigan have managed only one major signing in two years. The rumour mill suggests that Oliver Wilson will be out injured for the whole season, after dispatching 3 prop forwards to other clubs. As a two-man team, Wigan will need to wrap French and Field in cotton wool, as with two race horses, they often pull up mid-season with hamstring issues. Wigan have also decided to re-sign club captain Liam Farrell for a further two seasons, despite the fact that, at 35 years old, he is starting to show signs of fatigue.

Aspirations - Silverware as a minimum, with a treble on the cards

A very strong squad of 20, but the salary cap skews the full squad with 23 down to 35 filled with academy kids. Of course, Wigan are renowned for a production line of talent, but this does not mean they are ready for a plethora of games. Everything will hinge on French and Field remaining on the pitch for as much of the season as possible.

3. Leeds Rhinos - Brad Arthur, on a rolling contract, has provided a bit of stability, and with Jake Arthur also now in the country, there are more reasons to stay. A large NRL contract may soon change all of that. A fourth-place finish for Leeds was a first home play-off for many a season, with the two previous seasons resulting in Leeds missing out on post-season Rugby. In 2024, after missing out, he made sure they still continued to train, rather than hit the beaches early. Arthur is known as a disciplinarian, and that was obvious in the structure of the defence. Jake Connor was nurtured slowly after initially being left out of the squad. 2026 will see a former and the reigning Man of Steel partnering for a second consecutive season. How well the Rhinos progress is dependent on Croft and Connor combining well. Croft in his final year, has seldom shown the form that resulted in a fee being paid for his services from Salford. Recruitment is strong with Jeremiah Mata'utia, Ethan O'Neill and Danny Levi joining the Rhinos, but there are some big losses with Morgan Gannon, Sam Lisone and James Bentley leaving. Maika Sivo, having not played last season, will be like having a new signing.

Aspirations - Top four as a minimum, Silverware will be expected

Is the Las Vegas game going to adversely affect Leeds. They will also have one of the easier matches at Magic Weekend.

2. Hull KR - Reigning treble winners, will have a bullseye slapped on their backs, as they prepare to defend all three titles and win a fourth against the Brisbane Broncos. Recruitment has been difficult with the salary cap starting to pinch. All those treble winners will be looking for a pay rise in their new contracts. Litten and Lewis will need extra incentives not to eye up those lucrative NRL deals. The old warhorses Jared Waerea-Hargreaves and Micky McIlorum have hung up their boots after a magnificent swansong. Kelepi Tanginoa left to seek a longer contract with Warrington. To replace the departing players, in step, Tom Amone and Karl Lawton. Lawton offers plenty of NRL experience and, more importantly, possible cover at hooker. Tom Amone will be a worry for little Willie, will he get Castleford 2025 or Leigh 2024, Tom Amone. There is the issue of defending all three trophies, the Robins also have a strength-sapping trip to Las Vegas straight after the World Club Challenge. This will also result in having to squeeze an extra regular-season fixture to replace the one missed because of the World Club Challenge. There are then two early-season trips to the South of France, all before the middle of April.

Aspirations - Retain all three trophies and win the World Club Challenge

Hull KR have broken the hoodoo, but defending it might be harder than achieving the treble in the first place. Hull derbies are going to be much more competitive, and there are three to enjoy with Magic Weekend.

1. Leigh Leopards - Adrian Lam has been working on a five-year strategy. Although not publicly stated, it would be fairly reasonable to assume that winning the Grand Final in 2027 is the ultimate goal. Finishing the regular 2026 season in first or second would amount to steady progress toward that objective. 2023 - 5th place, 2024 - 5th place(4th place with play-offs), 2025 - 3rd place. This rise through the ranks has been achieved without a long-established academy, but through shrewd recruitment first with a raft of unknown NSW/QLD cup players and some experienced older heads. This later morphed into a much younger group of talented overseas players and bringing through the likes of Owen Trout, Keenan Brand, Bailey Hodgson and Umyla Hanley. The crown jewels of the team are Lachlan Lam and Edwin Ipape. NRL veterans Joe Ofahengaue and Issac Liu bring a level of professionalism to the team. There is also a sprinkling of stardust from Tesi Nui and David Armstrong. The team has lacked a top-quality goal kicker and a creative half-back in all three seasons in the Super League. Matt Moylan was briefly the answer to the creative half-back, but was later swapped with Gaz O'Brien due to defensive frailties. Adam Cook has been identified by Adrian Lam as the missing piece of the jigsaw and the perfect foil for Lachlan Lam. If Lammy snr is correct, then the Leopards will be incredibly dangerous and coupled with a fully fit David Armstrong, then attacking from any part of the field becomes a real option.

Aspirations - Top two finish - Challenge Cup a bonus.

Leigh has a relatively settled side, but this might be the last season due to salary cap constraints. They are a difficult side to beat, and this season is going to be a tough competition. 


Saints Take the Spoils

  "We probably haven’t played that poorly since the Challenge Cup semi last year here against Warrington"  Adrian Lam. In Leigh th...